Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000190 0.000210 0.000232 0.000256 0.000284 0.000314 0.000350
2025-10-12 0.000154 0.000183 0.000217 0.000260 0.000312 0.000375 0.000456
2025-10-19 0.000129 0.000162 0.000203 0.000257 0.000329 0.000421 0.000548
2025-10-26 0.000114 0.000149 0.000195 0.000260 0.000349 0.000470 0.000650
2025-11-02 0.000101 0.000137 0.000185 0.000256 0.000360 0.000507 0.000738
2025-11-09 0.000091 0.000128 0.000178 0.000256 0.000373 0.000548 0.000836
2025-11-16 0.000082 0.000118 0.000170 0.000252 0.000380 0.000579 0.000922
2025-11-23 0.000074 0.000109 0.000161 0.000245 0.000382 0.000602 0.000997
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000105 0.000159 0.000249 0.000400 0.000653 0.001126
2025-12-07 0.000067 0.000102 0.000158 0.000254 0.000420 0.000709 0.001273
2025-12-14 0.000061 0.000096 0.000151 0.000249 0.000423 0.000734 0.001364
2025-12-21 0.000056 0.000089 0.000142 0.000239 0.000416 0.000741 0.001422
2025-12-28 0.000053 0.000086 0.000141 0.000243 0.000436 0.000803 0.001602
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000247 0.000456 0.000868 0.001806
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000080 0.000136 0.000245 0.000465 0.000911 0.001967
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000077 0.000134 0.000248 0.000481 0.000973 0.002184
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000073 0.000130 0.000244 0.000487 0.001012 0.002353
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000070 0.000127 0.000244 0.000498 0.001064 0.002564
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000067 0.000122 0.000240 0.000501 0.001098 0.002736
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000063 0.000117 0.000234 0.000497 0.001118 0.002873
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000237 0.000517 0.001196 0.003189
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000061 0.000117 0.000242 0.000540 0.001285 0.003559
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000237 0.000540 0.001313 0.003749